feedburner
Enter your email address:

Delivered by FeedBurner

feedburner count
Showing posts with label financial markets. Show all posts
Showing posts with label financial markets. Show all posts

Early Indicators: End of Wall Street As We Know It

Labels: , ,

By: Contrarian Profits

– Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) and Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), the two last major investment banks left standing after the carnage Wall Street, have ended the era of investment banking by changing their status to bank holding companies. The change means the two firms can now create commercial banks that will be able to take deposits.

– The move marks a sea change on Wall Street 75 years since the Glass-Steagall Act that separated them from deposit-taking banks. The Federal Reserve will now take over from the Securities Exchange Commission as regulator of the two banks.

– "The decision marks the end of Wall Street as we have known it," said William Isaac, a former chairman of the FDIC. "It’s too bad."

– Concern is growing that Hank Paulson’s vast rescue plan for Wall Street may "crush" the dollar. According to Bloomberg: "The combination of spending $700 billion on soured mortgage-related assets and providing $400 billion to guarantee money-market mutual funds will boost US borrowing as much as $1 trillion […] While the rescue may restore investor confidence to battered financial markets, traders will again focus on the twin budget and current-account deficits and negative real US interest rates."

– For investors who want to bet against the buck, on Friday Taipan Daily editor Justice Litle recommended four real assets set to profit from the death of the dollar.

– Worries are also mounting over the fate of hedge funds. "Hedge Funds Face Chaos," warned The New York Times on Sunday.

Hedge funds usually thrive when markets turn volatile. But Even these fast-money investors are struggling to cope with the wild swings in the markets, raising concerns that some may not survive.

Even before the Bush administration proposed its vast bailout for financial institutions, the hedge funds - those secretive, sometimes volatile investment vehicles for the rich - were on course for their worst year on record. The average fund is down nearly 5 percent so far this year.

– According to the fine print of the administration’s statement on its latest bailout, which will receive intense scrutiny this week, Uncle Sam will buy toxic debt from foreign-based banks with large US operations. Hank Paulson confirmed this on ABC’s This Week program, saying that coverage of foreign-based banks is "a distinction without a difference to the American people."

– The $700 billion figure Paulson has put out as the cost of his latest bailout measure is just $100 billion shy of the $800 billion price tag of the Iraq war so far.

– As the reality of the proposed bailout sets in US stock futures are pointing down. According to MarketWatch this morning: "S&P 500 futures fell 6.9 points to 1,239.10 and Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 10 points to 1,729.50. Dow industrial futures fell 78 points."

– Paulson also echoed John McCain’s much-derided view that the "fundamentals of the US economy are strong." Paulson told NBC’s Meet the Press: "I wouldn’t bet against the long-term fundamentals of this country." Although he didn’t specify whether he meant fundamentals such as inflation, jobless rate house prices or the hardworking American people, as John McCain later said he was referring to in his own statement.

– Paulson’s boss, President Bush, however struck a far more alarmist tone. After earlier calling the meltdown on Wall Street an "adjustment," the Commander in Chief said officials in his administration finally realized that "the house of cards was much bigger" than just the mortgage-finance system, or even Wall Street and that they worried about "the whole deck going down."

– The next card could well be the $62 trillion market for credit-default swaps, says Shah Gilani in Money Morning. The derivative instruments - which offer insurance against default - are neither transparent nor regulated. But they are all at risk. And they are already causing huge writedowns in the banking sector…

– Amid all the talk of bailouts, writedowns, credit-default swaps, subpime mortgages and the liquidity crisis, it’s easy to forget the reason for the current economic mess, says The Big Picture blogger, Barry Ritholz: the breakdown in the reason for ledning money in the first place…

Here is an oddly interesting observation: Over the entire history of human finance, the underlying premise of all credit transactions — loans, mortgages, and all debt instrument — has been the borrower’s ability to repay.

From 1 million B.C. up until the present, repayment ability was the dominant factor.

This goes as far back as when Og lent the guy in the next cave a few dozen clamshells in order to go and purchase that newfangled wheel. If Og didn’t think his neighbor would be able to repay him those clamshells, he never would’ve entered into what we can describe as the first commercial loan.

Since real estate loans are at the bottom of all of our current credit woes, let’s take mortgages as an example. The historical basis for making a loan for a home purchase was several simple factors: Employment history, Income, down payment, credit rating, assets, loan-to-value ratio of the property, and debt servicing ability. But for some crazy reason, those factors went away during the housing boom.

– Krugman in The New York Times points out the government’s latest bailout plan simply be to throw taxpayers’ money at distressed banks to convince Mr. Market that "everything’s OK" without ensuring that the taxpayer gets something of value in return…

The Treasury plan […] looks like an attempt to restore confidence in the financial system - that is, convince creditors of troubled institutions that everything’s OK - simply by buying assets off these institutions. This will only work if the prices Treasury pays are much higher than current market prices; that, in turn, can only be true either if this is mainly a liquidity problem - which seems doubtful - or if Treasury is going to be paying a huge premium, in effect throwing taxpayers’ money at the financial world.

And there’s no quid pro quo here - nothing that gives taxpayers a stake in the upside, nothing that ensures that the money is used to stabilize the system rather than reward the undeserving.

Contrarian Profits is a contrarian investing news and opinion hub, providing market-beating ideas from the world’s top investment gurus.

Article Source: http://www.ArticleBiz.com

Read More......

How to Find Balance in These Turbulent Times

Labels:

by: George E Lockett

While the energies in the world undergo rapid change and the turbulence in financial markets prompts us to review our scale of values, where do we look for stability and joy?


The answer is within our heart. If we look at the bigger picture and ourselves, we only have control over what we are creating in the Now moment. The love that is flowing from our source energy within our heart, outwards to the world, and which expresses itself through our every thought, word and deed, is under our control.

Through maintaining a positive vision in our imagination, we can create positive outcomes, even if the world appears to be in turmoil.

Through relaxing, releasing and seeing everything as a part of your Self, you can allow these changes to take place without strain or attachment. Just view the world with unconditional love and know that everything is made of energy, which can be neither created nor destroyed; know that there will always be enough and that the process we are going though is releasing the power held by the few and empowering us all to take personal responsibility for ourselves.

Through self-love and appreciation we can build up good feelings in our heart. By being aware of our breathing and conscious of our breath, we can allow the mind to settle down and become the observer of these changes, rather than being caught up in them.

This process of self-love and of witnessing the change, gives the body a chance to release tension and stress and come back into balance. This allows us the space and time to take the attention within and imagine a world we would love to live in.

Through positive visualization we are programming our body's magnetism to draw to us that which we have created and which we desire to show up in our life. As we take time to do this, we feel good inside; we connect to our soul energy and start to live our life purpose by bringing forward the images from deep within our heart.

This inner work is the most important thing we can do at this time. Consciously remove yourself from any negative influences which may come into your space; exercise your power to neutralize them simply by living each moment as it comes. Turn the awareness onto the Self, breathe consciously to release the mind and feel the silence within the heart.

Bathe in this elixir of life as your streams of awareness and consciousness mingle together in your heart. This union with the Self is very healing and balancing. Allow 20-30 minutes a day to do this; it can make all the difference to how you feel within the day and how the world reacts to you.

You are empowering your Self to connect with the bigger picture which your soul energy knows. When you emerge from this type of energy work, your vibration is in tune with your heart energy, which connects you to the whole Universe.

You start to notice synchronicities showing up in your life. You gain much more support from all the laws of nature when you connect to your own inner nature. We are all a part of the universal life force. By releasing and relaxing tension and stress, we come back to the Self; we feel whole and complete.

We experience the Joy of our life purpose and of riding on the crests of the new waves of consciousness and awareness which are welling up on the New Earth. Align yourself in the Now and enjoy the ride by going with the flow.

Healing comes naturally from within the energies of a lightworker, and harmony and personal growth are blossoming as each person honours his own nature, and lives his dreams and life purpose in natural harmony with all around him. George E. Lockett SSHA, IIHHT (C) Copyright 2008, All Rights Reserved. Read more of HealerGeorge's ideas in his book; A Journey into the Self -- the Multi-dimensional Nature of Being Human or visit : http://www.healergeorge.com If you would like me to send healing to you or someone else, please click the link below to Request Distant Healing: http://www.healergeorge.com/absent_healing.htm

Read More......